Age Well
Key messages
- There is a need for more services which prevent and delay the need for long-term health and care services.
- There has been a reduction in demand for long-term residential care beds and we now have an oversupply of general residential care beds for older people.
- There is an increase in demand for specialist residential and nursing dementia long-term care home beds.
- There is an increase in demand for care at home with a particular lack of supply in our rural areas.
- There is a need for more specialist housing options.
Over the next five years we are transforming the way we support people to live a great life in Cheshire West and Chester through preventative services and building on people’s strengths with just the right amount of care at the right time.
The older population (age 65 plus) of Cheshire West and Chester accounts for 21.25%, compared to 18.88 % across the Northwest region. By 2035, the population of over 65s is expected to increase further to 26.97% [1]. Just over half of the population aged 65 and over are female (40,400 - 55%) with 12.3% (9800) being aged 85 and over. Life expectancy is high for both males and females, although across the borough this fluctuates due to inequalities and 5% of the population are from a BAME community.
|
|
2020 |
2025 |
2030 |
2035 |
2040 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
People aged 65-69 |
19,800 |
21,800 |
25,800 |
25,900 |
24,100 |
|
People aged 70-74 |
20,700 |
19,100 |
21,100 |
25,000 |
25,200 |
|
People aged 75-79 |
14,700 |
18,800 |
17,500 |
19,500 |
23,100 |
|
People aged 80-84 |
10,600 |
12,000 |
15,500 |
14,500 |
16,400 |
|
People aged 85-89 |
6,200 |
7,300 |
8,500 |
11,000 |
10,500 |
|
People aged 90 and over |
3,700 |
4,200 |
5,000 |
6,000 |
7,900 |
|
Total population 65 and over |
75,700 |
83,200 |
93,400 |
101,900 |
107,200 |
Cheshire West and Chester Older population forecast www.poppi.org.uk
People are living longer, therefore ensuring the right kind of care and support is available at the right time is key.
84%[2] of people aged 65 or older with care and support needs are benefitting from a good or outstanding Care at Home provider, a figure we would like to increase. We would also like to ensure, when the time comes, that residents have appropriate provision to ensure they have a dignified death in a place of their choosing.
Over the next five to ten years, we will develop a market where we can support our ageing population to live a great life at home for as long as possible using a strength-based approach. When the time comes, we need the market to provide enough support in the correct accommodation to meet higher needs, particularly for those people with dementia.
[1] https://www.poppi.org.uk/
[2] NW ADASS Fair Cost of Care Report. Over 65s Care Market Summaries
